Volume 2 Issue 4 | 2025 | View PDF
Paper Id:IJMSM-V2I4P132
doi: 10.71141/30485037/V2I4P132
Effect of Energy Consumption on Economic Growth: Lessons from Nigeria
Monday A. Gbanador, Obinna Okeke
Citation:
Monday A. Gbanador, Obinna Okeke, "Effect of Energy Consumption on Economic Growth: Lessons from Nigeria" International Journal of Multidisciplinary on Science and Management, Vol. 2, No. 4, pp. 309-318, 2025.
Abstract:
This study investigates the effect of energy consumption on economic growth in Nigeria over the period 1990–2022 using annual time series data. The Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) and Phillips-Perron unit root tests were employed to examine the stationarity properties of the variables, while the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model was used for estimation. Model robustness was confirmed through post-estimation diagnostic tests, including the correlogram of squared residuals, Breusch-Pagan-Godfrey heteroskedasticity test, histogram normality test, and CUSUM stability test. The ARDL estimates reveal a negative but statistically insignificant relationship between fossil fuel energy consumption (FOFEC) and Gross domestic product growth rate (GDPGR), while GDP per unit of energy use (GPUEU) exhibits a positive yet insignificant effect on GDPGR. Similarly, Renewable energy consumption (REECC) shows a positive, though statistically insignificant, impact on GDPGR. Based on these findings, the study recommends that the government should gradually reduce reliance on fossil fuels by diversifying the energy mix and investing more in greener energy alternative.
Keywords:
Economic Growth, energy consumption, energy finance, fossil fuels, non-renewable energy, Renewable energy.
References:
1. E.R. Aderinto, M.O. Adeagbo, and Emiola, “Financial Sector Development, Energy Consumption and Economic Growth in Nigeria,” International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, pp. 3177–3187, vol. 9, no. 3, 2025.
2. M.A. Adeshina, A.M. Ogunleye, H.O. Suleiman, A.O. Yakub, N.N. Same, Z.A. Suleiman, and J.-S. Huh, “From Potential to Power: Advancing Nigeria’s Energy Sector Through Renewable Integration and Policy Reform,” Sustainability, pp. 1–28, vol. 16, no. 20, 2024.
3. O. Ajah, G. Nzeribe, K. Okeyika, and M. Nwokoye, “Energy Consumption and Economic Growth in Nigeria,” The Nigerian Journal of Energy & Environmental Economics, pp. 16–33, vol. 15, no. 2, 2024.
4. A.E. Akinlo, “Energy Consumption and Economic Growth: Evidence From 11 Sub-Saharan African Countries,” Energy Economics, pp. 2391–2400, vol. 30, no. 5, 2008.
5. Z. Asghar, “Energy–GDP Relationship: A Causal Analysis for the Five Countries of South Asia,” Applied Econometrics and International Development, pp. 185–198, vol. 8, no. 1, 2008.
6. K. Atoyebi, A. Abari-Ogunsona, and R. Danmola, “Renewable Energy Sources, Financial Development and Economic Growth in Nigeria,” LASU Postgraduate School Journal, pp. 130–145, maiden ed., 2024.
7. Belk, C. Dreger, and F. De Haan, “Energy Consumption and Economic Growth: New Insights Into the Co-Integration Relationship,” RUHR Economics Papers, pp. 1–24, no. 190, 2010.
8. D.A. Dickey and W.A. Fuller, “Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series With a Unit Root,” Journal of the American Statistical Association, pp. 427–431, vol. 74, 1979.
9. C.W. Donovan, Renewable Energy Finance: Powering the Future, World Scientific Publishing, 2015.
10. C. Egbichi, O. Abuh, V. Okafor, A. Godwin, and O. Adedoyin, “Dynamic Impact of Energy Consumption on the Growth of the Nigerian Economy (1986–2016): Evidence From Symmetrical ARDL Model,” International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, pp. 188–195, vol. 8, no. 2, 2018.
11. L. Elie, C. Granier, and S. Rigot, “The Different Types of Renewable Energy Finance: A Bibliometric Analysis,” Energy Economics, p. 104997, vol. 93, 2021.
12. M.A. Gbanador, Fundamentals of Oil and Gas Finance: Theory and Practice, Pearl Publishers International Limited, 2018.
13. C. Hamit and O. Korkmaz, “The Relationship Between Renewable Energy Consumption and Economic Growth: The Case of Bulgaria,” International Journal of Energy Sector Management, pp. 573–589, vol. 13, no. 3, 2018.
14. S.D. Kareem, O.A. Sunkanmi, and A. Kehinde, “Energy Consumption, Financial Development and Economic Growth in Nigeria,” International Journal of Social Sciences and Humanities Reviews, pp. 58–64, vol. 6, no. 3, 2016.
15. G.O. Odularu and C. Okonkwo, “Does Energy Consumption Contribute to Economic Performance? Empirical Evidence From Nigeria,” Journal of Economics and International Finance, pp. 44–58, vol. 1, no. 2, 2009.
16. L.U. Okoye, A.E. Omankhanlen, J.I. Okoh, U.E. Okorie, F.N. Ezeji, B.I. Ehikioya, and G.K. Ezu, “Effect of Energy Utilization and Financial Development on Economic Growth in Nigeria,” International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, pp. 392–401, vol. 11, no. 2, 2021.
17. M.A. Oyinlola, “Financial Development and Energy Consumption Nexus in Nigeria,” NDIC Quarterly, pp. 105–116, vol. 35, no. 1–2, 2020.
18. M.H. Pesaran, Y. Shin, and R.J. Smith, “Bounds Testing Approaches to Analysis of Level Relationships,” Journal of Applied Econometrics, pp. 289–326, vol. 16, no. 3, 2001.
19. M.H. Pesaran and Y. Shin, “An Autoregressive Distributed Lag Modelling Approach,” in Econometric and Economic Theory in the 20th Century: The Ragnar Frisch Centennial Symposium, Cambridge University Press, pp. 371–413, 1999.
20. P.C.B. Phillips and P. Perron, “Testing for a Unit Root in Time Series Regression,” Biometrika, pp. 335–346, vol. 75, no. 2, 1988.
21. M.M. Rahman, F. Zahan, and M.F. Islam, “Energy Finance Strategy and Governance Nexus With Economic Growth: Results From Emerging Economies,” PLOS ONE, pp. 1–22, vol. 19, no. 12, 2024.
22. R.M. Solow and T.W. Swan, “A Model of Economic Growth,” Economic Record, pp. 137–155, vol. 32, no. 2, 1956.
23. P.-P. Xiong, Y.-G. Dang, T.-X. Yao, and Z.-X. Wang, “Optimal Modeling and Forecasting of the Energy Consumption and Production in China,” Energy, pp. 623–634, vol. 77, 2014.
24. World Bank, World Development Indicators, World Bank, Washington, DC, 2023.